Top Ticking Real Estate is Different Than Stocks

Thursday, January 26, 2006 | 11:43 AM

Nice pair of charts from Northern Trust that show even as sales slow down:

Single_family_home_sales


Prices still remain relatively robust:

Median_sales_price_single_family_homes


That may seem counter intuitive to equity traders; when you top tick a stock, its all down hill from there. But the money flow, finacing and resistance levels are different.

Except for first home buyers, top ticking on a buy  also implies top ticking the sell, too. A buyer into a over priced/high priced market is also a seller into that same pricey market.

Indeed, rolling a few $100k out of one overpriced home -- and into another -- is very different than buying Google at $460 or Apple at $83 . . .


>


UPDATE January 26, 2006 2:29pm

So I post this on the way out the door to a lunch meeting, and then in the cab on the way, I immediately think of exceptions: First time buyers, speculators, builders/developers,  etc. 

But that still leaves somewhere between 50 and 75% or so of buyers as simultaneous sellers also.

In my mind, the significance of this is that the Real Estate may slow down in a slow motion fashion also.

>

Source:
Housing Market Is Certainly Cooling Down
Asha Banglore
Northern Trust, January 25, 2006 
http://tinyurl.com/975oe

Thursday, January 26, 2006 | 11:43 AM | Permalink | Comments (16) | TrackBack (0)
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Comments

Is there even a correlation between the two charts? It's hard for me to tell.

Posted by: Michael | Jan 26, 2006 12:48:37 PM

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