Fannie Mae Looks Like Hell

Friday, November 16, 2007 | 11:30 AM

Fannie Mae's fuzzy math: Fortune magazine reported that the lender changed the way it discloses bad loans, which could be masking rising credit losses.

"Investors might want to take a closer look at Fannie Mae's latest earnings report. Lost in the unsurprising news of the mortgage lender's heavy losses was a critical change in the way the company discloses its bad loans -- a move that could mask that credit losses that are rising above levels that the company predicted just three months ago.

Without the change in disclosure, an important yardstick for credit losses that Fannie Mae provides to investors would have looked much worse than it did in financials filed last week.

Fannie Mae's potentially misleading disclosure comes at a crucial time for the company. Fannie Mae was severely penalized last year for overstating earnings and for a lack of oversight. As part of its punishment, the amount of home loans that Fannie Mae can make was limited."

There’s a quick and dirty look at Fannie Mae at the chart below.

Early Friday, Fannie Mae (FNM) shares were little changed; (UPDATE: On Thursday after Fortune magazine reported site disclosed this info, and the stock tanked). This morning, it was down as much as 10%.

The charts looks eerily similar to Tyco (TYC) back int he days pre-disaster -– and where there is smoke, there is often fire.


graphic courtesy of Kevin Lane, Fusion IQ


Fannie Mae's fuzzy math
Peter Eavis
Fortune, November 15 2007: 9:29 AM EST

Friday, November 16, 2007 | 11:30 AM | Permalink | Comments (23) | TrackBack (3) add to | digg digg this! | technorati add to technorati | email email this post



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» Comparing Online Reports: The Case of Fannie Mae from A Dash of Insight
One of our missions at A Dash is helping investors find their way through the maze of online information. In particular, it is often the case that a little knowledge can be a dangerous thing. Mainstream media sources now have [Read More]

Tracked on Nov 19, 2007 11:07:22 PM

» Fannie Mae: Ouch! from The Big Picture
On Friday, we noted that Fannie Mae Looks Like Hell. In the weekend linkfest, we noted the Fortune article about Fannie Mae, as well as out own Sell on the stock. The emails from numerous readers were fascinating. I learned some things about my ancestr... [Read More]

Tracked on Nov 20, 2007 10:20:07 AM

» Poole: Fannie, Freddie `Insolvent' After Losses from The Big Picture
This mornings must read article is Bloomberg's summary of former St. Louis Federal Reserve President William Poole comments on the GSEs:Borrowing at Fannie Mae, the U.S. government-sponsored mortgage company, has never been so expensive and it may not ... [Read More]

Tracked on Jul 10, 2008 9:54:16 AM


why would a govt supported enterprise lie? that goes against everything our gov't stands for?

Posted by: UrbanDigs | Nov 16, 2007 11:35:47 AM

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