Saturday, June 26, 2004

9/11 Fahrenheit Presidential Indicator

Earlier this week, we looked at a number of "Presidential Indicators" which might provide some insight into the outcome of the November 2004 presidential election.

I'd like to, in advance, suggest yet another potential indicator: The 9/11 Fahrenheit opening weekend gross indicator.

Here are my thoughts: If this film has a blowout boxoffice for its opening weekend, that might actually be implying that the vein of, lets call it "discomfort" against the incumbent runs far wider and deeper than many moderates previously believed.

If, on the other hand, the film does rather poorly, it suggests, perhaps, that the only people really angry at the President are hardcore partisans. (Perhaps, perhaps not -- I'm thinking out loud here).

An element of truth -- or at least recognition -- of this can be seen in the way both sides have alternately promoted and dissed the film: Some Lefties have been encouraging people to go see it, while some Righties have mounted active campaigns to discourage exhibitors from showing the movie.

I cannot say what the uptake is on the encouragement, but as the Al Franken - Bill O'Reilly dispute demonstrated, orchestrated campaigns of censorship have a tendency to backfire.

(Its not just the Right which seems never to learn this, but the Left also:
Barbra Streisand
learned that the hard way when she attempted to have photos of her house suppressed. She lost, and the photos became far more widely distributed than if she hadn't ever said anything in the first place).

The 9/11 Farenheit thesis is but a mere half-formed theory, and I cannot say something like this has ever been tested before. Baybe the total gross has more predictive power, or the opening month sales, or even DVD rentals will be instructive; I cannot say. This is only a thoery, so your mileage may vary . . .



UPDATE: June 26, 2004 1:05pm

A few people have pointed out that a film such as this is more geared towards the so-called base, and not really geared towards "mainstream" or "swing" voters. While I'm not sure if thats true, it certainly is a realistic possibility.

Further, some writers suggested that these same voters tend to be less involved in national elections until after both conventions -- and that also may be true. (Thats why I said this was merely a half formed thesis, and not a historically well correlated proof)

Posted at 06:40 AM in Film, Politics | Permalink

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Earlier this week, we took a look at a number of "Presidential Indicators" which might provide some insight into the outcome of the November 2004 presidential election. I'd like to, in advance, suggest yet another potential indicator: The 9/11 Farenhei... [Read More]

Tracked on Jun 26, 2004 8:49:00 AM

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Earlier this week, we took a look at a number of "Presidential Indicators" which might provide some insight into the outcome of the November 2004 presidential election. I'd like to, in advance, suggest yet another potential indicator: The 9/11 Fahrenhe... [Read More]

Tracked on Jun 26, 2004 8:53:53 AM

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"F911, An Enlightening Epiphany in Our Bi-polar Times."

It has become a rare thing; really, when you have a viewing event that makes you cry (multiple times), experience heart-wrenched, horror, and melancholy, bridged by sparks of manic laughter. You have jaw dropping, mindless leaders' outtakes, paired with sincere, heartfelt, soulful families' grief. During this film you recognize a Yin & Yang, an extreme-balance, a great sense of gratitude in those that are underprivileged yet still proudly serve our nation, matched with a feeling of disgrace [to the point of rage] caused by the careless wealthy and our national leadership, both Democratic and Republican. In our polarized times, Fahrenheit 911 is a bi-polar artwork, a manic-depressant masterpiece, and as close to a truthful reflection & projection of our troubling times then any other current aesthetic experience we have right now in America.

So who should see this movie? If you are liberal, progressive, and have been tormented over the last four years by Bush's policies, Fahrenheit 911 probably will act as a reaffirmation or catharsis for you [then into torture since when you walk out of the theater you know the man's still president]. If you are conservative, skeptical and want a fresh perspective, play connect the dots during this film and interpret for yourself the big picture that emerges. And if you are one of those "hear no evil, see no evil, speak no evil" anti-intellectual Bush supporting monkeys, you won't ever change your mind anyway, so you'll probably just stay in your comfortable, ignorant, safe houses and continue tuning into the Fox News network and blindly go through life waiting for others to tell you what to think and fear.

Over the last four years, traces of this information have surfaced of the damage and deception caused by 'our' current administration, but the over-all context is usually left out in our thirty-second, sound bite media [conglomerates'] nightly reports. Information, conflict with interests, and suspicious relationships previously suppressed by the current administration have been exposed in the light by Michael Moore's cunning perspective and investigation. With this the metaphorical light bulb illuminates, an epiphany occurs, the connections are presented, and the viewer is left to draw his or her own conclusions (usually disgust and amazement with the sloth of our media and politicians).

Michael Moore's composition is for the thinking person, conservative, democrat, republican, liberal, and it is expected that you initiate a dialogue with yourself and others about your preconceptions and individual perspectives. Like with Bowling for Columbine, Michael Moore does not force you to think like he thinks, or agree with what he believes, all that is asked is hopefully you select to view his composition, think for yourself, and draw your own conclusions. Those who avoid his documentaries for no other reason then "I don't like him [without knowing him]," are probably those who may not be accustomed to thinking for themselves in the first place (e.g. the main character of F911).

This movie is a true cinematic gift, and one can only wait for the election this November.

http://movies.yahoo.com/shop?d=hv&id=1808569540&cf=critic&intl=us

Posted by: T Scauzillo | Jun 29, 2004 2:21:24 PM

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