Friday, September 17, 2004
Bush's Lead Narrowing In Post-Convention Polls
President Bush continues to lead John Kerry in most polls released since the Republican National Convention, but his bounce seems to be fading somewhat.
In fact, in the two most recent surveys, taken by Harris Interactive and Investor's Business Daily, Mr. Kerry leads or is tied with Mr. Bush. The two major newsweeklies released their second post-convention polls earlier this week, and while Mr. Bush maintained his advantage of 10 percentage points in the Time poll, his lead narrowed to six percentage points in a reading from Newsweek.
Mr. Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney also lost ground to Mr. Kerry and his running mate, North Carolina Sen. John Edwards, in a new Zogby poll, which they only led by four percentage points, but the pair had a nine-point advantage in AP-Ipsos survey.
Note the progression in polling data from the RNC to the present . . .
Harris poll
Bush Cheney 47 Kerry-Edwards 48 Nader Camejo 2 Not Sure/Refused 3Sept. 9-13, 2004. 867 likely voters nationwide.
Margin of error +/- 4 percentage points.
Bush Cheney 46 Kerry-Edwards 46 Nader-Camejo 3 Not Sure 5Sept. 7-12, 2004. 674 likely voters nationwide.
Margin of error +/- 3.5 percentage points.
Bush Cheney 49 Kerry-Edwards 43 Nader-Camejo 2 Other/Undecided 6Sept. 9-10, 2004. 1,003 registered voters nationwide.
Margin of error +/- 4 percentage points.
Bush Cheney 46 Kerry-Edwards 42 Nader-Camejo 2 Other/Unsure 10Sept. 8-9, 2004. 1,018 likely voters nationwide.
Margin of error +/- 3.1 percentage points.
Bush Cheney 52 Kerry-Edwards 42 Nader-Camejo 3 Unsure 4Sept. 7-9, 2004. 857 likely voters nationwide.
Margin of error +/- 4 percentage points.
Bush Cheney 52 Kerry-Edwards 43 Nader-Camejo 2 Other/None/Unsure 3Sept. 7-9, 2004. 800 likely voters nationwide.
Margin of error +/- 3.5 percentage points.
Source: the polls; PollingReport.com
Sources:
Bush's Lead Narrowing In Post-Convention Polls
September 16, 2004 3:27 p.m.
http://online.wsj.com/article/0,,SB108792552424744155,00.html
TrackBack
TrackBack URL for this entry:
http://www.typepad.com/services/trackback/6a00d8341c52a953ef00d83456e23b69e2
Listed below are links to weblogs that reference Bush's Lead Narrowing In Post-Convention Polls:
Comments
Wow these polls are crazy. Now Zogby has bush around 15 pts ahead, but after leading ohio in double digits, another new poll has him suddenly tied with Kerry. Liberal states liek New Jersey and New York look competitive??? This is the craziest year of polling I can remember....or is it like this every year and we forget and worship the polls anyways. :>
Posted by: Frank Myers | Sep 17, 2004 4:32:38 PM
President Bush continues to lead John Kerry in most polls released since the Republican National Convention, but his bounce seems to be fading somewhat. In fact, in the two most recent surveys, taken by Harris Interactive and Investor's Business Daily,... [Read More]
Tracked on Sep 17, 2004 8:50:12 AM