Chart of the Week: Earnings vs. Capacity Utilization

Thursday, March 18, 2004 | 11:52 AM

Since 1970, changes in the Capacity Utilization Rate have correlated well with Corporate Earnings. In the past, capacity utilization bottomed (or peaked) 6 to 15 months before earnings. Not so during the present recovery: Profits soared while capacity utilization remains at a relatively low 76.6%.

Earnings vs. Capacity Utilization
capacity_utilization.bmp
Source: ChartoftheDay

Two possible explanations: US companies are outsourcing to low cost countries, driving profits at the expense of US manufacturers. Some finger “quality of earnings” as the culprit, as they were during a similar divergence in 1999-2000.



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Thursday, March 18, 2004 | 11:52 AM | Permalink | Comments (1) | TrackBack (0)
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Comments

The key is there is no pressure from labor costs and there is fine productivity. So, you get fine earnings. We need a better return to labor.

Posted by: anne | Mar 18, 2004 5:41:24 PM

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