PMI, GDP stink up the joint

Wednesday, August 31, 2005 | 11:23 AM

The first revision of GDP growth for the second quarter rose at a (seasonally adjusted) 3.3% annual rate. This was below expectations of 3.4%, and the revised Q1 GDP data of 3.8%. (recall that GDP data for Q1 was revised due to the specious theory that new home prices had dropped for that quarter).

Meanwhile, the Chicago PMI utterly collapsed below the magic 50 level to 49.2 in August, down from 63.5 in July. This was well short of consensus expectations of 61.0, and was the weakest level since April 2003.

Chicago PMI components showing the largest declines were:

new orders (46.5 from 69.6 in July)
production (56.2 from 70.5 in July).
Order backlogs (45.7 from 56.1 in July).

Three of seven PMI components are now below the 50.0 boom/bust line: order backlogs (45.7), new orders (46.5) and supplier deliveries (48.7).

Wednesday, August 31, 2005 | 11:23 AM | Permalink | Comments (10) | TrackBack (0) add to | digg digg this! | technorati add to technorati | email email this post



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And now the chatter is starting about how the Fed should pause their tightening campaign....

Not sure about others thoughts, but I think thats a bad idea with bad long-term ramifications....

Posted by: erikpupo | Aug 31, 2005 1:39:59 PM

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