All Aboard the Reality Express!

Friday, May 19, 2006 | 07:34 AM

Shameless plug: Last October, "The Unpleasant Truth About Inflation" noted all the reasons why inflation was actually much higher than most people (including the Economists on Wall Street) believed.

It took market participants an astonishing 8 months to figure this out.

Nothing much has changed except perception. Growth is still slowing, and is as Real Estate dependent as ever. Prices continue to increase, regardless of the idiotic focus on the Core rate (don't sugar coat it, tell us how you really feel). 

What has changed from last week, when the dominant meme was Pause! to today, when the newfound fear is a Half-Point hike? Psychology. Groupthink. Emotions and sentiment.

The only thing truly different is the Goldilocks fantasists have changed trains, and are now on the Reality Express.  Next stop: 2% GDP, 5% inflation. ALL ABOARD!

Of course, the markets haven't liked this. Goldilocks is a fairy tale, while Reality has warts. These are consequences for decades of easy money and years of bad policy.  Like the twin deficits. Growing disparities in wealth, which will ultimately lead to spasmodic anti-capitalist legislation. Deficit producing tax cuts. Post crash damage still unresolved from 2000. A ruinous war costing treasure and lives and despoiling the United State's reputation globally. Is it any surprise the greenback has gotten kicked around like a junkyard dog? All the while these markets have been as  utterly dependent as a babe at its mother's breast on massive government stimulus for ongoing growth. My name is Mr. Market, and I am stimulus-aholic (Hi Mr. Market!)

Keep repeating after me: Except for everything going up in price, there is no inflation . . . 

Friday, May 19, 2006 | 07:34 AM | Permalink | Comments (32) | TrackBack (0)
de.li.cious add to de.li.cious | digg digg this! | technorati add to technorati | email email this post

bn-image

TrackBack

TrackBack URL for this entry:
https://www.typepad.com/services/trackback/6a00d8341c52a953ef00d8348e8dfc53ef

Listed below are links to weblogs that reference All Aboard the Reality Express!:

Comments

I hate it when they give 'big chem.' more excuses to raise end product pricing while they're out buying cheap gas. Watching the $USD to see when it returns to it's down trend.

Posted by: Snooky Chase | May 19, 2006 8:19:28 AM

The comments to this entry are closed.



Recent Posts

December 2008
Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
  1 2 3 4 5 6
7 8 9 10 11 12 13
14 15 16 17 18 19 20
21 22 23 24 25 26 27
28 29 30 31      

Archives

Complete Archives List

Blogroll

Blogroll

Category Cloud

On the Nightstand

On the Nightstand

 Subscribe in a reader

Get The Big Picture!
Enter your email address:


Read our privacy policy

Essays & Effluvia

The Apprenticed Investor

Apprenticed Investor

About Me

About Me
email me

Favorite Posts

Tools and Feeds

AddThis Social Bookmark Button

Add to Google Reader or Homepage

Subscribe to The Big Picture

Powered by FeedBurner

Add to Technorati Favorites

FeedBurner


My Wishlist

Worth Perusing

Worth Perusing

mp3s Spinning

MP3s Spinning

My Photo

Disclaimer

Disclaimer

Odds & Ends

Site by Moxie Design Studios™

FeedBurner