Case-Shiller Home Price Index Posts a Record Annual Decline

Tuesday, August 28, 2007 | 09:56 AM


The above chart is through June 2007

We should be hearing from the bottom callers any day now:

“The pullback in the U.S. residential real estate market is showing no signs of slowing down,” says Robert J. Shiller, Chief Economist at MacroMarkets LLC. “The year-over-year decline reported in the 2nd quarter of 2007 for the National Home Price Index is the lowest point in its reported history, which dates back to January 1987. On a regional level 17 of the 20 metro areas are showing declines in their annual growth rate from what was reported in May.”

During this cycle, Boston was the first metro area to report negative year-over-year returns, back in April 2006. In June 2007, Boston showed an improvement in its annual rate of decline from the value reported in May, –3.9% versus –4.3% reported in May. Boston has shown improvement since the beginning of the year, where its annual growth rate measured –5.5%. More data however, is needed to determine whether Boston, whose growth rate turned negative before other metro areas, is truly the first metro area to turn around.

Note that its a clean sweep: decreases in every city measured, on a year over year basis:


Table courtesy of  TFS Derivatives Corp


Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index Posts a Record Annual Decline in the 2nd Quarter of 2007
S&P, Aug 28, 2007 09:00 AM EST PDF

Existing Home Sales Slowest in 5 Years
Martin Crutsinger
AP Economics Writer, Monday August 27, 5:11 pm ET

Home inventories rise to 16-year high
Rex Nutting
MarketWatch, 12:15 PM ET Aug 27, 2007

Tuesday, August 28, 2007 | 09:56 AM | Permalink | Comments (25) | TrackBack (1) add to | digg digg this! | technorati add to technorati | email email this post



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Tracked on Sep 7, 2007 9:19:38 AM


Shouldn't they start calling it "decline rate" instead of "growth rate."

Posted by: Owner Earnings | Aug 28, 2007 10:40:39 AM

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