Prices Fall, Inventories Rise, NAR Spins

Wednesday, November 28, 2007 | 10:50 AM

Ushmsales112807Sales of existing homes fell to a record low in October. What was the largest drop in home prices -- ever -- wasn't enough to revive sales.

Inventory levels also climbed to record highs.

The data highlights:

• The national median existing-home price (All housing types) was $207,800 in October -- down 5.1% year over year (October 2006 = $218,900)

• Total housing inventory rose 1.9% to 4.45 million existing homes. This represents a 10.8-month supply. Inventory rose 1.9% for the month.

• Single-family home sales were down an astonishing 20.8% from October 2006.

• The median existing single-family home price was $205,700 in October, down 6.3% from a year ago.

• Existing condominium and co-op sales fell 20.2 % percent from October 2006; they are off 9.1% from last month. 

• The median existing condo price was $223,500 up 4.9% percent from a year ago.


Chart courtesy of NAR, Lehman Brothers via Real Time Economics


Of course, the biggest laugh was the National Association of Realtors headline: Mixed Results For October Existing-Home Sales; Mortgages Improving. 

If by mixed you mean a combination of terrible and horrible, then I guess its mixed.

Rex Nutting pulled this gem of a quote:

The fundamentals of the market don't support a further decline in sales, said Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the NAR, who said low mortgage rates and job growth should keep sales from falling. While the subprime mortgage market has disappeared, the Federal Housing Administration is picking up its lending.

"I don't anticipate any further major sales declines," Yun said. If sales do continue to fall, "it would be a major concern" and "would raise the risk of an economic recession."

Its worth reminding readers that Yun (nor his predecessor, the oft-hallucinatory David Lereah), have never in the past anticipated any sales decline.

If they were completely honest about this failure of expectations (rather than shilling for a clown outfit) the monthly commentary would read: "Geez, sales fell again? Wow, we didn't see THAT coming. No worries, next month should be fine . . ." >


Mixed Results For October Existing-Home Sales; Mortgages Improving
NAR, November 28, 2007

Supply of homes on market at 22-year high
Rex Nutting
MarketWatch, Last Update: 10:14 AM ET Nov 28, 2007

See also:
Study Warns of Decline In Value of Homes
WSJ, November 27, 2007 5:57 a.m.

Wednesday, November 28, 2007 | 10:50 AM | Permalink | Comments (27) | TrackBack (0) add to | digg digg this! | technorati add to technorati | email email this post



TrackBack URL for this entry:

Listed below are links to weblogs that reference Prices Fall, Inventories Rise, NAR Spins:


This is a clear signal to the Homebuilders to begin the next round of development and construction of condos.

Posted by: Marcus Aurelius | Nov 28, 2007 11:06:31 AM

The comments to this entry are closed.

Recent Posts

December 2008
Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
  1 2 3 4 5 6
7 8 9 10 11 12 13
14 15 16 17 18 19 20
21 22 23 24 25 26 27
28 29 30 31      


Complete Archives List



Category Cloud

On the Nightstand

On the Nightstand

 Subscribe in a reader

Get The Big Picture!
Enter your email address:

Read our privacy policy

Essays & Effluvia

The Apprenticed Investor

Apprenticed Investor

About Me

About Me
email me

Favorite Posts

Tools and Feeds

AddThis Social Bookmark Button

Add to Google Reader or Homepage

Subscribe to The Big Picture

Powered by FeedBurner

Add to Technorati Favorites


My Wishlist

Worth Perusing

Worth Perusing

mp3s Spinning

MP3s Spinning

My Photo



Odds & Ends

Site by Moxie Design Studios™