S&P500 vs AAII Bullish Index
My pal Mike Panzner sends along this chart showing that we are getting to an extreme in sentiment:
Chart courtesy of Mike Panzner's Armageddonomics
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That suggests a bounce, and I cannot say I disagree. Where I may be more circumspect then some of my more bullish brethren is what you should do with that bounce . . .
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UPDATE: July 11, 2008 1:04pm
Here's the UoM Sentiment read:
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Friday, July 11, 2008 | 11:00 AM | Permalink
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This indicator has failed the last couple of times, unless your horizon is days, not weeks. It also is a survey. I use Total Put/Call as a sentiment indicator based on actual money being put down. When the 10 day MA gets near 1.25, you can start covering shorts, IMO. Could take a few weeks. Don't go long however...just cover temporarily.
Posted by: Steve Barry | Jul 11, 2008 11:09:29 AM
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